SOVEREIGN RATES • LIQUIDITY PLUMBING • LIVE MACRO WIRE
Live Sovereign Yield Curve, FOMC Rate Matrix & Breaking Macro Wire
Real-time US Treasury yield benchmarks, FOMC rate probability pricing, live sovereign debt accretion, and edge-cached official dispatches from the Federal Reserve, BLS, US Treasury, and SEC.
◆ U.S. TREASURY CONSTANT MATURITY BENCHMARK CURVE (H.15)
3M T-BILL
4.52%
-4 bps Weekly
2Y NOTE
4.18%
+3 bps Weekly
5Y NOTE
4.21%
+5 bps Weekly
10Y NOTE
4.34%
+6 bps Weekly
20Y BOND
4.61%
+7 bps Weekly
30Y BOND
4.54%
+6 bps Weekly
30Y MORTGAGE
6.58%
+9 bps Weekly
◆ FED WATCH MATRIX & SOVEREIGN DEBT CLOCK
Next FOMC Policy Decision Countdown
Dec 16, 2026 FOMC Rate Decision34
Days
19
Hours
24
Minutes
00
Seconds
IMPLIED FOMC RATE PROBABILITY MATRIX (OIS / FED FUNDS FUTURES)
EFFR: 4.58%
Hold Unchanged (4.50% – 4.75%)38.4%
Cut -25 bps (4.25% – 4.50%)56.2%
Cut -50 bps (4.00% – 4.25%)5.4%
LIVE BREAKING MACRO WIRE
Synchronizing Federal Reserve, BLS, U.S. Treasury & SEC primary feeds...
◆ U.S. HIGH-IMPACT ECONOMIC CALENDAR
| Date / ET | Release | Cons. | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13 08:30 ET |
US Consumer Price Index (CPI-U YoY)
BLS • ▮▮▮
|
2.7% | 2.6% |
| Nov 14 08:30 ET |
Producer Price Index (Final Demand YoY)
BLS • ▮▮
|
2.3% | 2.1% |
| Nov 15 08:30 ET |
US Retail & Food Services Sales (MoM)
CENSUS • ▮▮▮
|
+0.3% | +0.4% |
| Nov 20 13:00 ET |
US Treasury 20-Year Bond Reopening Auction
TREASURY • ▮▮
|
$16.0B | 4.49% |
| Nov 27 10:00 ET |
Core PCE Price Index (Fed Preferred Gauge)
BEA • ▮▮▮
|
2.8% | 2.7% |
| Dec 16 14:00 ET |
FOMC Rate Decision & Summary of Economic Projections
FED • ▮▮▮
|
4.25-4.50% | 4.50-4.75% |
◆ FORENSIC LONG-FORM REPORTS
View All ↗
MC-2026-11 • Household Inflation & Shelter
11M • PDF+CSV
The Silent Escrow Shock: Property Tax & Insurance vs. CPI
MC-2026-10 • Sovereign Debt & Rates
10M • PDF+CSV
The $1.18T Treasury Interest Wall & Maturity Rollover
MC-2026-09 • Purchasing Power Methodology
10M • PDF+CSV
Headline vs. Reality: Reconstructing the 50-State Cost Basket
MC-2026-08 • Banking & Credit Plumbing
10M • PDF+CSV
The $930B CRE Maturity Cliff & Municipal Tax Risk
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